Economic Market Update

ECONOMIC MARKET ANALYSIS: Looking Back to Look Ahead

Looking Back to Look Ahead The first half of 2019 was solid. And we expect continued growth for the overall economy in the second half of the year. But growth still seems to slow through the end of 2020. * By Jason Schenker * The first half of 2019 was solid. And we expect continued growth for the overall economy ...

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ECONOMIC MARKET ANALYSIS: Risks in 2019

Putting Economic Risks in Context * By Jason Schenker * There are more risks this year than there were at this time last year—a lot more. Trade risks, political risks, geopolitical risks and even risks to global growth have all increased. But it is important to examine these risks in context, because while there are rising risks across the global ...

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ECONOMIC MARKET ANALYSIS: Downside Risks to the 2019 and 2020 Outlook

Economic growth in the United States was solid in 2017 and 2018. But the outlook for 2019 and 2020 is not as strong. Trade risks present downside risks to U.S. growth, global growth and the overall material handling outlook for 2019 and 2020. Furthermore, higher interest rates and rising labor costs also present downside risks to corporate profits and economic ...

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ECONOMIC MARKET ANALYSIS: Growth Continues, Despite a Risky First Half of 2018

* By Jason Schenker * The first half of the 2018 included a number of policy surprises that engendered significant financial market volatility. U.S. trade policy, in particular, became a flashpoint of uncertainty, as tariffs were lobbed back and forth between the U.S. and China. The aftermath of that uncertainty is likely to cast a shadow over growth prospects late ...

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ECONOMIC MARKET ANALYSIS: Outlook Is Strong for Material Handling Industry in 2018

The outlook for the U.S. economy, global economy and material handling is strong for 2018. By Jason Schenker— Leading economic activity data, low interest rates, favorable tax policies in the United States, a falling greenback, and solid equity markets were all positive dynamics coming together to push material handling orders and overall activity to strong levels at the start of ...

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ECONOMIC MARKET ANALYSIS: 2018 Economic Outlook

2018 Economic Outlook: Growth Expectations and Policy Risks By Jason Schenker, CMT®, CFP®, ERP®, CVA®, Prestige Economics, LLC— There are many reasons to be optimistic about growth in the year ahead. Data in the latter half of 2017 were generally positive, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) raised its global growth forecasts, and leading indicators—like global purchasing manager indices—were indicative of ...

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ECONOMIC MARKET ANALYSIS

U.S. and Global Outlook Remain Positive for Material Handling and the Overall Economy By Jason Schenker, CMT, CFP, ERP, CVA, Prestige Economics, LLC The outlook for material handling remains positive, as long as the outlook for the U.S. economy remains positive. In a recent analysis, we found that nominal U.S. GDP is over 90 percent correlated with material handling. This ...

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Expectations for the U.S. and Global Economy Improve for 2017

Optimism about the U.S. economic outlook that increased at the end of 2016, strengthened even further in the first quarter of 2017. U.S. consumer confidence rose sharply in the first quarter and data from the ISM Manufacturing and Non-Manufacturing purchasing manager indices (PMIs) and the MHI Business Activity Index (BAI) was positive. Although there had been downside risks to U.S. ...

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Expectations on the Rise for the Economy for 2017 and 2018

Optimism about the U.S. economic outlook increased at the end of 2016, after the U.S. presidential election. Expectations of Reaganesque corporate and individual tax cuts that would be accompanied by FDR-era infrastructure spending sent equities higher—and improved the potential for investment. While optimism about U.S. growth improved at the end of 2016 and the beginning of 2017, global growth expectations ...

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